Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast
WEB2 days ago · So here is how our model translates polls and the other inputs it uses into probabilities in the Electoral College and the popular vote in every state — plus some nightmare scenarios like a repeat of the 2000 Florida recount. (It’s more likely than you might think, alas.)
Nate Silver Issues 'Good News' for Kamala Harris on Electoral College ...
WEBStory by Marni Rose McFall. • 9h. Nate Silver, the statistician and founder of polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, issued good news for Vice President Kamala Harris on an episode of his podcast ...
Kamala Harris Handed Good News After Nate Silver's 'Bold …
WEBThe polling site, which was launched by Silver but since bought by ABC News, found that Trump has a 39 percent chance of winning the Electoral College in November, while Harris has a 61 percent ...
Harris is gaining in post-debate polls - by Nate Silver
WEB4 days ago · Harris is pretty clearly getting a bounce in national polls. She’s now up by 2.9 points in our polling average, as compared with 2.2 points on the day of the debate (and 2.0 points on the day after the debate, when there wasn’t yet any post-debate polling included in the averages). Arguably — arguably! — this is even a little conservative.
Mad about the Electoral College? Blame California.
WEB3 days ago · What a seeming anomaly in the model tells us about the Electoral College. A week or two ago, a seeming contradiction in the model confused some of our readers. For instance, on Aug. 30, Harris was projected to win (slightly) more electoral votes (270 to 268) — but Trump was very slightly favored (52 percent to 47 percent) to win the Electoral ...
Nate Silver Forecast Reveals Possible 'Tipping Point' for
WEBCorrection 09/12/24, 7:22 p.m. ET: This article was updated to reflect that North Carolina has 16 electoral votes and to correct the spelling of Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin. We regret the errors.
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
WEB1 day ago · There is a 34-in-100 chance that Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. See a new scenario. 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign “fundamentals,”...
Harris vs. Trump: Nate Silver’s 2024 Election Forecast - PBS
WEBAug 15, 2024 · Nate Silver, the prophetic pollster and poker player who founded the website FiveThirtyEight, speaks with Walter Isaacson about his new book which details how -- as in poker -- risk-taking...
Nate Silver's Forecast Shows Harris as Favorite for First Time in 3 ...
WEB1 day ago · Statistician Nate Silver 's latest election forecast shows Vice President Kamala Harris overtaking former President Donald Trump in the race for the White House for the first time since late ...
More polls show Harris leading Trump, but Nate Silver sees
WEBStart the day smarter. Get all the news you need in your inbox each morning. As of Tuesday, Silver’s Electoral College forecast shows former President Trump with a 56.2% chance of winning the ...