Pa., is leading his Republican challenger, David McCormick, by 9 percentage points among likely voters, according to a new poll by The Philadelphia Inquirer, The New York Times, and Siena College. Casey,

The state’s closely watched Senate race shows a similarly tight contest, and 93 percent of registered voters say they are certain to vote.

Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey (D) is leading his Republican rival Dave McCormick in new Keystone State polling. In a new poll from The Philadelphia Inquirer/The New York Times/Siena College, Casey garnered 49 percent support from the likely electorate in Pennsylvania compared to McCormick’s 40 percent.